Here’s what has to happened for Djokovic to make the semifinal.

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David Ferrer, who has already qualified for the semi-finals, is the only player not to lose a set this week and after overcoming negative head-to-heads against his first two opponents this week, Murray and Djokovic, he can come into this match with some extra confidence. The Spaniard is 5-2 lifetime against Berdych, winning their past four meetings (and winning both of their hard court meetings as well). This match will be the ultimate decider of who will become the last player to qualify for the semi-finals at the year-end finale:

1.  If Ferrer defeats Berdych, Djokovic will qualify.

2. If Berdych defeats Ferrer and Djokovic loses (vs. Tipsarevic), Berdych will qualify.

3. If Berdych defeats Ferrer and Djokovic defeats Tipsarevic, Berdych will qualify unless Djokovic won his match in straight sets and Berdych was pushed to three sets before winning (in which case Djokovic qualifies).

Ferrer’s 63 61 win over Djokovic on Wednesday not only qualified him for the semi-finals, it was the equal-most lopsided win over a No. 1 in 28 and a half years – in a completed match, and in terms of games lost (in March 1983, Ivan Lendl lost a match, 61 62 – since then, nine times have players lost only four games in beating a No. 1, Ferrer’s win over Djokovic being the ninth time since then it has happened).




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